He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. 24 Overrated RBs. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Has no highlight reel. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Its a knock on his offensive line. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. John Riggins 19. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Henry is all but guaranteed to regress after rushing for over 2,000 yards last season, and he doesnt catch enough passes. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Single Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB33 | Consensus Projections RB31. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Downing, USA Today Sports. Fred Taylor Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Wait until next year. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. His current draft price is almost his upside. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Walter Payton 5. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Single I would probably rank him around 43. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. The Top Ten. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. Preseason may help a little. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Overrated Sleepers Running Backs Values Overrated Sleepers The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Simpson 13. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. The current regime did not select Robinson. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. James is the more physically gifted player. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Yep. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Gordon is a massive red flag at his ADP.
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